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Article Dans Une Revue Ecology Letters Année : 2021

General statistical scaling laws for stability in ecological systems

Jean‐francois Arnoldi
Ian Donohue
Lauren G Shoemaker
Shaopeng Wang

Résumé

Ecological stability refers to a family of concepts used to describe how systems of interacting species vary through time and respond to disturbances. Because observed ecological stability depends on sampling scales and environmental context, it is notoriously difficult to compare measurements across sites and systems. Here, we apply stochastic dynamical systems theory to derive general statistical scaling relationships across time, space, and ecological level of organisation for three fundamental stability aspects: resilience, resistance, and invariance. These relationships can be calibrated using random or representative samples measured at individual scales, and projected to predict average stability at other scales across a wide range of contexts. Moreover deviations between observed vs. extrapolated scaling relationships can reveal information about unobserved heterogeneity across time, space, or species. We anticipate that these methods will be useful for cross-study synthesis of stability data, extrapolating measurements to unobserved scales, and identifying underlying causes and consequences of heterogeneity.

Dates et versions

hal-03574740 , version 1 (28-03-2022)

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Adam Thomas Clark, Jean‐francois Arnoldi, Yuval R Zelnik, György Barabas, Dorothee Hodapp, et al.. General statistical scaling laws for stability in ecological systems. Ecology Letters, 2021, 24 (7), pp.1474-1486. ⟨10.1111/ele.13760⟩. ⟨hal-03574740⟩
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